昆明棋牌

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                供应端压力凸显 橡胶震荡区间或下移

                http://hdmovieshow.com   更新时间: 2019-03-22 09:41:29   长安期货

                一、行情回顾


                昆明棋牌 2YUEDIHAIWAIYIQINGBAOFA,DUOGUOQUEZHENSHUJUKUAISUSHANGSHENG,DANYOUQUANQIUJINGJIZENGZHANGFANGHUAN,XIANGJIAOPANMIANKUAISUHUILUO,DANWEIDIEPO2YUECHUGUONEIYIQINGBAOFASHIDEDIDIAN;ZHOUMOOPEC+JIANCHANXIEYIWEIDACHENG,SHATEFAQIJIAGEZHAN,YISHIJIANGDISHOUWANGDUOGEGUOWAISHICHANGDEYUANYOUJIAGE,ERSHIJUEDINGDAFUDUZENGCHAN,YUANYOUJIAGEDAFUXIADIE,DIEFUDA30%,MEIYUANYOUWTIJIAGECHUJI30MEIYUAN/TONGFUJIN,XIANGJIAOPANMIANZAIDUXIACUO,05HEYUECICIZHIJIEDIKAI,DIEPO2YUECHUDE10280DIDIAN,DA10165,ZHOUWUDIEPO10165,ZUIDI10090JU2016NIANDE9350BUZU1000DIAN,ZHICIKONGTOUQUSHIYANXU,QIEMUQIANWEIJIANQIWENJIXIANG。


                二、疫情外围蔓延,供给端压力再现


                QinRexJUANRPCZUIXINGONGBUDESHUJUXIANSHI,YUJIDAO2020NIANQUANQIUTIANJIAOCHANLIANGJIANGZENGZHANG2.7%ZHI1417.7WANDUN,YUJI2020NIANQUANQIUTIANJIAOXUQIULIANGLIAOZENGZHANG1.2%ZHI1382.4WANDUN。2020NIAN1-2YUE,QUANQIUTIANJIAOCHANLIANGNIANJUNXIAJIANG5.2%。YOUYUYIQINGBAOFAHOU,ZHONGGUOZHIZAOYESHOUDAOYANZHONGYINGXIANG。YINCI,2020NIANQIANLIANGGEYUE,QUANQIUTIANJIAOXIAOFEILIANGTONGBIXIAJIANGLE18.6%。JIANYUYIQINGYIMANYANZHIQUANQIUDAYUE90GEGUOJIA,YUJIQUANQIUJINGJIXIAHUAJIANGJINYIBUXIADIAO2020NIANDEQUANQIUTIANJIAOXIAOFEIQIANJING。


                昆明棋牌 GONGJIDUANTIANRANXIANGJIAOCHANLIANGCHIXUZENGJIA,XUQIUWEICHIWANGNIANXIAOFEILIANGSHI,JIAGEDUONIANDIMI,WEICHIZAI10615-13500QUJIANZHENDANG,YOUYUYIQINGYINGXIANGJINNIANYIJIDUXIAOFEILIANGYUJIYUANDIYUWANGQI,SUIRANGUONEIYIQINGDEYIKONGZHI,DANGUOWAIYIQINGMANYAN,QIEDUOGUOYIQINGCHUYUFAZHANCHUQI,BUPAICHUHOUQIQUANQIUYIQINGGAOFENGQIZAI3YUEDIDAOLAI。QUANQIUJINGJIYIJIDUSHUJUBURONGLEGUAN。


                昆明棋牌 YOURIXINZENGBINGLISHUJUKEFAXIAN,ZHONGGUO、HANGUODEYIQINGGAOFENGQIYIGUO。DANTONGQIDEQITAGUO,YIDALI,YILANGRIXINZENGRENSHURENGKUAISUZENGZHANG,WEIDADAOGAOFENGQI,MUQIANYIDALIYICAIQUHEZHONGGUOLEISIDEFENGCHENGCUOSHI;FAGUO、MEIGUOJIDEGUORENGCHUFAZHANCHUQI,YUGUHOUQIRIXINZENGBINGLIHUIKUAISUZENGZHANG。


                QUANQIUYIQINGBAOFA,XUQIUDUANXIAJIANG,GONGJIYALITUXIAN,MUQIANKANGUONEIYIQINGYU2003NIANFEIDIANXIANGBI,SHIJIANSUIRANDUAN,DANZAOCHENGDECHONGJIJIAODA,QIEYIQINGZAIGUOWAIMANYAN,YUJIYINGXIANGDAYU2003NIANFEIDIAN。GONGXUJIAODU,XIANGJIAOJIAGEYALIJIAOQIANG。


                三、预期下游消费下滑


                昆明棋牌 ZHONGQIXIEFABU2020NIAN2YUEQICHEGONGYEJINGJIYUNXINGQINGKUANGXIANSHI:2020NIAN2YUE,GUONEIQICHECHANXIAOLIANGCHUXIANDAFUXIAHUA,FENBIEWANCHENG28.5WANLIANGHE31WANLIANG,TONGBIFENBIEXIAJIANG79.8%HE79.1%。1-2YUE,LEIJICHANXIAOFENBIEWANCHENG204.8WANLIANGHE223.8WANLIANG,CHANXIAOLIANGTONGBIFENBIEXIAJIANG45.8%HE42%;LINGWAI,2YUECHENGYONGCHEXIAOLIANG22.4WANLIANG,TONGBIXIAJIANG81.7%。XINNENGYUANQICHECHANLIANGTONGBIXIAJIANG82.9%,XIAOLIANGTONGBIXIAJIANG75.2%。


                JUXIAOXI,ZHIMINGTOUXINGMOGENSITANLIBIAOSHI,SHOUDAOXINGUANZHUANGBINGDUFEIYANDEYINGXIANG,MEIGUOQICHESHICHANGJINNIANXIAOLIANGJIANGXIAHUA9%。ERZAIXINGUANZHUANGBINGDUFEIYANBAOFAQIAN,FENXISHIYUCEMEIGUOQICHESHICHANGJINNIANXIAOLIANGJIANGXIAHUA1%-2%。JUQICHEFENXIJIGOULMC AutomotiveYUCE,YOUYUBAOKUOMEIGUOZAINEIDEDUOGEQICHESHICHANGXIAOFEIZHEDUIXINGUANZHUANGBINGDUFEIYANDEDANXIN,QUANQIUQICHESHICHANGJINNIANDEXIAOLIANGJIANGXIAHUA4%,YUJIJINNIANQUANQIUSHICHANGDEXIAOLIANGJIANGWEI8640WANLIANG,ERZAI2019NIANZHEIYISHUZIWEI9030WANLIANG,ZAIXINGUANZHUANGBINGDUFEIYANBAOFAQIAN,LMC AutomotiveYUCEJINNIANQUANQIUQICHESHICHANGDEXIAOLIANGWEI9010WANLIANG。


                GUONEIERYUEFENQICHECHANXIAOLIANGDAFUXIAHUA,YUJIYIQINGYINGXIANGXIA,MEIGUOQICHEXIAOLIANGXIAHUAYUANGAOYUTONGQI。QIEGUOWAIYIQINGRENGCHUBAOFAQI,GUAIDIANRENGWEICHUXIAN。


                四、国内汽车行业复工


                昆明棋牌 JUXIAOXI,XIAYOUQICHEXINGYEZI2YUE17RIZHUBUKAISHIFUGONG,ZHI3YUE12RI,ZHONGGUOQICHEGONGYEXIEHUIBIAOSHI,GENJUXIEHUIMIQIEGENZONGDE23JIAQIYEJITUAN(NIANXIANLIANGZHANBICHAOGUO96%)FUGONGFUCHANQINGKUANG,JIEZHI3YUE11RI,FUGONGLVWEI90.1%,YUANGONGFANGANGLV77%。ZHANGAN、QIRUI、JILI、JIANGHUAI、HUACHEN、ZHONGQI、YUTONG、JINLONGSHANQIDENG18JIAYIQUANBUFUGONG。


                昆明棋牌 YOUYUYIQINGYINGXIANG2YUEFENQICHEXIAOLIANGJIAOWANGNIANXIAHUAJINBACHENG,SUIZHEFUGONGFUCHANDEZHUBUTUIJIN,HOUQIXIAYOUXIAOFEIHUOHUIHAOZHUAN,DANERYUEFENYIRANSHIQU,HOUQIXIAOFEILIANGYUWANGNIANSHUIPINGXIANGDANGYOUYIDINGKUNNAN。


                五、原油对橡胶影响有限


                YUANYOUCICIDIEFUDADAO30%,MEIYUANYOUJIAGEDIEZHI30MEIYUAN/TONGZUOYOU。CICIYUANYOUBAODIEDEYUANTOUSHIYIQINGYINGXIANGXIA,YUJIYUANYOUXUQIUDAFUWEISUO,JINERDAOZHIOPEC+GUOJIAJIANCHANSHIBAI,YOUSHATEYINFADEYUANYOUJIAGEZHAN。


                DINGERXISHIHECHENGXIANGJIAODEZHUYAOYUANLIAO,YUANYOUJIAGEDUIDINGERXIJIAGECHANSHENGYINGXIANG,JINERYINGXIANGHECHENGXIANGJIAO,ZUIZHONGYINGXIANGTIANRANXIANGJIAO。


                HECHENGXIANGJIAOZHONGDINGBENXIANGJIAO、SHUNDINGXIANGJIAO、BENYIXILEIRESUXINGDANXINGTI(SBCs),ZHEISANDAJIAOZHONGGONGZHANZONGHECHENGXIANGJIAOLIANGDE85%YISHANG。ERZHEISANDAJIAOZHONGJUNYIDINGERXIWEIYUANLIAO。


                昆明棋牌 DINGERXIJIAGEYUYUANYOUJIAGEBINGBUWANQUANYIZHI,2016-2017NIANJIANYUANYOUJIAGEDIWEI,DINGERXIJIAGEQUEZOUGAO,YUXIANGJIAOJIAGEZOUSHIYIZHIXINGGENGGAO,FANYINGXIANGJIAOGONGXUQINGKUANG。CICITIANRANXIANGJIAOJIAGEDIMI,JISHIYUANYOUJIAGEXIADIE,KEJIANQINGYIDINGDECHENGBENYALI,HECHENGXIANGJIAODEYINGLIKONGJIANYIRANJIAOXIAO,QIECIYUANYOUSHENGCHANGUOBOYISHIBAISUOZHIYOUJIADIWEI,CONGLIYIYIZHIJIAODULAIKAN,BUJUBEIZHANGQIXING。YUANYOUTUOLEITIANRANXIANGJIAOJIAGESHIDUANQIDE,BUJUZHANGQIXING,TIANRANXIANGJIAOYIRANYIGONGXUJIBENMIANWEIZHUDAO。ZAIGONGJIXIANGDUIGUOSHENG,TIANRANXIANGJIAOMEIYOUXUQIUDUANDEEWAIZENGZHANGDIANCHUXIANDEQINGKUANGXIA,NANYIZOUCHUQIANGSHIXINGQING,GENGDUODESHIQUJIANDEZHENDANG。


                六、行情展望


                ZHENGTILAIKAN,MUQIANXIANGJIAOCHUYUKONGTOUQUSHI,QIEZAIYIQINGJIYUANYOUJIAGEDIWEIYINGXIANGXIA,XUQIUJIAORUO;HAIWAIYIQINGYIRANZAIMANYANZHONG,YUGUQUANQIUYIQINGBAOFAGAOFENGQIRENGWEIDAOLAI,TIANRANXIANGJIAODEQUANQIUXIAOFEILIANGHUODIYUWANGNIAN,YUJIZHENDANGQUJIANXIAYIKENENGJIAODA,DANGUONEIYIQINGYIJINGHAOZHUAN,YINGXIANGZHUJIANJIANXIAO,SUIZHEHOUQIFUCHANFUGONG,XIAOFEILIANGHUOSHANGSHENG,PANMIANRENGXUHOUQIQUEREN,BUJIANYIQUMODI,YIGUANWANGHEDUANCHACAOZUOWEIZHU。  


                文章关键词: 橡胶
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